Those of you who know me, also know that I am not a friend of Twitter. Not yet! But this medium for micro-publishing seems to grow and grow. Swiss blogger Nico Luchsinger has counted some 800.000 users. So there is quite a good track record and the only thing missing is the business model.

But a call for advertising is not really funny: In my opinion the short message like style of Twitter would suffer a lot from advertising. Twitter simply is not made for it, besides the fact that in a commercial consisting of one sentence there is not much to tell. So Twitter needs something very different. Why doesn’t a company like IBM buy Twitter? They could continue the service without any changes. In financial terms this idea looks quite stupid. Why to buy a business where there is no revenue stream at all? Well, first of all, Twitter is a brand. And a very well reputated one, too. A company buying Twitter would invest into branding and image.

But that’s not all: My german blogger friend Marcel Weiss reminded me of the fact, that Twitter is an open plattform offering an API for developers. And that’s where things start to get very interesting: Twitter as a market leader in its segment can be seen as an exchange place and not all services made along the API would have to be free.

One example: Imagine the “twittersphere” would be scanned by semantic software in order to obtain or extract clue words, ideas and trends from it. Who is talking on Twitter? It is a global elite that is far ahead concerning technology, social media and general information. So following Twitter is market research 2.0. The data mining could be used for trend reports or aggregated publishing on websites which would not be free of advertising. All this would not hurt or disturb the twittersphere. And my opinion, that services like Twitter never will be a sort of mass media, fits very will in our example. Twitter as a tool of a relativly small but focused user group creates a homogenous market segment worth watching. The value would be exactly the opposite of what it is for Facebook or MySpace.

Finally there is the question of prize and worth of Twitter. If we take the level of Facebook as a sort of benchmark we would end up with a prize of aproximately 300 million $ (calculated on the number of users). Ok, that’s a lot of money but it would not be expensive for one of the market leading companies in IT.